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《千与千寻》说的不就是你吗?

????本文来自微信公众号:枪稿(ID:QiangGaooooo),原标题《无名、没脸、变成猪的巨婴,不就是你吗?》,作者:梅雪风,编辑:李不言,封面:动画电影《千与千寻》,?,《千与千寻》已然是本世纪的一部当代经典。,
,宫崎骏在他最盛年的阶段,完成了一部集大成的代表作。,
,它的复杂和深邃,超越了一般意义上的“动画片”,抵达了第七艺术的某种极致之境。,
,下文即为对它的详尽解析。,
,在大银幕与宫崎骏的重逢,
,,
,1,
,宫崎骏是一个世界观特别宏大的导演。有的导演讨论的是男女问题,有的导演讨论的是社会问题,还有些导演特别喜欢讨论阶级问题,而宫崎骏始终讨论的都是人类这一非常宏大的问题。,
,也正因为此,他的电影里面始终有一个与人类世界平行的,或者相对应的另外一个世界。在《天空之城》里面,这个世界是一个科技高度发达,最终已经灭绝的悬浮城市拉普达,这是一个已经死亡的乌托邦。,
,,拉普达是一座漂浮在空中的巨大的机器岛,蕴藏着巨大的财富。(电影《天空之城》剧照),
,他其实是在讲,即使我们的技术再发达、再先进,但没有对于生命的敬畏,没有对于整个世界的敬畏,我们仍然会遭遇毁灭。,
,我们今天要讲的《千与千寻》,还有《幽灵公主》,那另外一个世界,就是神的世界。在宫崎骏的电影里面,神的世界实际上是大自然的一种人格化体现,是一种泛神论的浪漫想象。,
,从这点来说,宫崎骏是一个原教旨主义的环保主义者,在他的世界里面,人以及人的欲望成了这个世界被败坏的罪魁祸首,而这种蓬勃的不加抑制的欲望最终会受到大自然的反扑,或者说报复。,
,,自然界最神秘、最强大的神,麒麟兽。(电影《幽灵公主》剧照),
,这种宏大的思辨,是宫崎骏一个重要的侧面,但这不是他的全部。另外一个与之分庭抗礼的侧面,就是他的孩子气,这种孩子气来自于他的想象力。,
,或者说,这种过剩的爆棚想象力本身就是孩子气的证明,就是乐观的体现,就是对这个世界没有失去希望的表现,就是对这个固定不移、一成不变的现实世界的反抗。,
,2,
,宫崎骏有多津津乐道地去描摹一个不存在的世界,就能说明他有多么完整、多么可贵地保留了那种很容易被世俗世界磨掉的童心。,
,所以说,他的电影里面才充斥着那么多的魔法。,
,就像《魔女宅急便》里面那个骑着扫帚带着他的小黑猫飞行的小魔女,就像《哈尔的移动城堡》里,那个看似冷酷实则相当玻璃心的小鲜肉魔法师,也像《千与千寻》里面那些精灵古怪的生物或人物,比如那个有着六条胳膊的锅炉爷爷,还有那些活泼灵巧的小煤灰们。,
,,魔女琪琪和宠物黑猫吉吉在海边小城的修行之旅。(电影《魔女宅急便》剧照),
,也是因为这种童心,他的电影才那么热爱去表现飞行。而且他电影中的飞行器都不是那种赛博朋克式、充满金属味、去人性化的机器,而是工业与自然相结合的奇异形态。,
,这就像《天空之城》里那些飞船都有着蜻蜓一样的翅膀,《红猪》中飞机全部看起来都散发着它刚被发明时的手工质感,在《哈尔的移动城堡》里面,那个城堡也不是一个酷炫的机器,而是一个拟人化、老迈、慢吞吞的有腿、有眼睛、有舌头的破旧的房子。,
,,可爱的城堡像个走起路来气喘吁吁的老爷爷。(电影《哈尔的移动城堡》剧照),
,这种童心,还体现在他电影里面的主人公总是一个个的梦想家。,
,《天空之城》中的小男孩,他总是向往着飞行,对机器充满了热爱,《红猪》里面的主人公红猪虽说已经是一个中年大叔,但他内心仍然是个小孩。他情愿变成一只猪,也不愿意进入那个烦人的恶俗世界,他永远不能放弃自由自在的飞行。,
,也是这种童心,让他电影里面总是充满了那种毫无性色彩、一见钟情的孩童式的爱情,这种爱情看起来与两性毫无关系,更像是一种小孩还会发育的玩伴的关系。,
,他电影里面的人物对于爱情的忠贞也超出我们的想象。无论是男主人公为了救女主人公,还是女主人公为了救男主人公,他们都能毫无负担、毫不犹豫地付出自己的生命,似乎这是天经地义的。这当然与宫崎骏拍摄的是动画片有关系,但更与他的那种根深蒂固的世界观有关系。,
,,千寻与白龙一见钟情,又有生死之交。(电影《千与千寻》剧照),
,
,3,
,宫崎骏这种骨子里面的悲观,与他骨子里面又无法抑制的乐观,以及他的古板。他的那种爆棚的孩子气融合在一起,形成了一种非常奇妙的矛盾感,也让他的那种单纯变得更加晶莹剔透,让他那种宏大的优势也变得更加的纯粹而动人。,
,在他所有的电影里面,《红猪》是我最喜欢的。像《魔女宅急便》《龙猫》以及《哈尔的移动城堡》,对我来说都过于轻盈和过于明媚了,而《幽灵公主》虽然史诗感极其宏大,但是也过于沉郁,以至于显得有些凄厉。,
,《红猪》在我的眼中几方面都平衡得非常好,有着一种既世故又单纯,既温柔又沧桑的杂糅的奇妙感。但在他所有电影里面,思想性方面,这部《千与千寻》,还有《幽灵公主》,是最为出挑的。,
,,红猪是一位迷人的飞行员。(电影《红猪》剧照),
,《幽灵公主》讲述了人与自然之间那种无法共存,却又不得不共存下去的复杂与矛盾。《千与千寻》,则非常细致地描绘出一个现代物质社会的现状和困境。,
,更为精妙的是,影片中每一个人物、每一个剧情都有它的隐喻性。,
,千寻那对变成猪的父母,分明就是现代社会中那些义无反顾投身于物欲,最终被物欲吞噬的人;,
,无脸男看起来非常呆萌,其实是指那些物质极大丰富,但却永远找不到任何依归,找不到任何港湾的那些孤独灵魂;,
,而那个得不到东西就威胁要哭的巨婴,看起来就像我们这个时代巨婴症的一个象征,这是一个过于明显的明喻了。,
,,“不要吃得太胖,否则会被杀掉的!”(电影《千与千寻》剧照),
,影片当中,对名字探讨也特别有意思。千寻失去了自己的名字,然后又找回自己名字,奋力逃出魔法世界。如果千寻忘记了她本来的名字,她就会和影片中的白龙一样,再也无法走出魔法世界。,
,这是对于现代人的人生意味深长的隐喻,名字就代表了这个人的身份,也代表了这个人的过去。丧失了名字也就丧失了身份,同时也就丧失了过去;而丧失了过去,你也就没有了未来,因为未来都是以过去作为基点的,没有基点的人生也就丧失了希望,你就会变成一具行尸走肉,变成一部机器。,
,,无脸人的金币让其他人垂涎三尺,却无法打动千寻的心。(电影《千与千寻》剧照),
,我们现代人就是这样,奋斗是为了获得自由,所以我们拼命地挣钱,心甘情愿地996,我们心甘情愿地学习各种各样的成功学。,
,但在这样的过程当中,我们逐渐被这一套廉价的心灵鸡汤给洗脑,成功本身成了全部,而在这个过程当中也就忘了所谓的初心是什么。当你一旦忘了这个初心,你也就变成了物质的奴隶,也就像千寻的父母一样,被那些物质美食喂养得不知疲倦、不知满足,却不知我们早已丧失了原来的模样。,
,4,
,很有意思的是,影片发生在一个日本房地产泡沫破灭之后的游乐园的废墟里面,游乐园与废墟本身就是一个特别有意思的对比。,
,游乐园的本质是要造梦,而废墟却又是梦想的破灭。这个情况很容易让我们想起我们中国,我们现在或曾经的房地产热潮,它让我们不禁要去反躬自问,我们会不会也陷入这样一种狂热,我们是不是也正在或已经忘记了我们到底要干什么?,
,,繁花似锦的乐园实际上一处废墟。(电影《千与千寻》剧照),
,影片除了讲到了整个现代物欲对于人心的损坏,它还非常成功地讲到了整个社会物欲对于大自然的戕害。,
,那个被误认为是腐烂神的河神,他满身的恶臭让满天神佛退避三舍。在千寻的帮助下,他吐出了所有的污垢,这些污垢就是各种各样的工业垃圾,各种各样的现代生活的废弃物。,
,而男主角白龙,其实是一条河流,他忘了自己的名字,其实这也就是他已经干涸或者甚至于消失不见的一种象征,这是比河神更为悲惨的命运,这些都是在说在整个现代化的过程中,我们所付出的惨痛代价。,
,,《幽灵公主》也呈现了人类发展与生态平衡的对立。(电影《幽灵公主》剧照),
,而汤婆婆和她的孪生姐妹之间的差别,可以说是宫崎骏对于这种时代病症的一种浪漫的解决方法的想象。,
,汤婆婆孪生姐妹的简朴,与汤婆婆的铺张形成了鲜明的对比,也许节制欲望是我们的唯一出路。欲望不只是伤害了我们这一代人,它对下一代人的副作用更大,汤婆婆的那个巨婴孩子就是一个活生生的例子。,
,这个被过剩的物质喂养长大的孩子,就像一朵在温室里面长大,娇嫩却畸形的花朵,他丧失了行走的能力,丧失了劳动的能力,也丧失了交流的能力。他唯一会的就是索取,他唯一的武器就是哭泣。,
,当他非常理直气壮却又娇滴滴地说出“你不陪我玩,我就哭哟”的时候,是我看到整部影片里最为恐怖的场景,因为它如此真实,似乎就在未来的不远处等着我们。,
,,最高统治者汤婆婆唯一怕的就是她的巨婴。(电影《千与千寻》剧照),
,这部《千与千寻》,看起来就是对于“现代人怎样才能从被物质奴役的现状中挣脱出来”的一种探讨。,
,一部动画片,能够这么精致而又细腻地对复杂的社会问题进行思考,是很难得的。更难得的是,它并没有因此变得沉闷,并没有丧失那种活泼的趣味。,
,从这点来说,宫崎骏特别像斯皮尔伯格、克里斯托弗·诺兰等好莱坞导演,他们始终在大众与自我之间,天真与深刻之间走着钢丝,而且最终都幸存了下来,让万千观众都收获了奇观,还有感动。而最后在这奇观与感动之外,还有另外一种东西,在默默地影响着大家,让大家去思索、去回味。,
,,
,作者简介:男性。资深媒体人,数码产品发烧友,长跑及太极爱好者。曾任《看电影·午夜场》创刊主编。,
,注:本文系作者与“三联中读”共同推出的音频节目之文字版,也是作者的第一篇语音影评。,
,本文来自微信公众号:枪稿(ID:QiangGaooooo),原标题《无名、没脸、变成猪的巨婴,不就是你吗?》,作者:梅雪风,封面:动画电影《千与千寻》

ben wen lai zi wei xin gong zhong hao: qiang gao ID: QiangGaooooo, yuan biao ti wu ming mei lian bian cheng zhu de ju ying, bu jiu shi ni ma?, zuo zhe: mei xue feng, bian ji: li bu yan, feng mian: dong hua dian ying qian yu qian xun,, qian yu qian xun yi ran shi ben shi ji de yi bu dang dai jing dian.,, gong qi jun zai ta zui sheng nian de jie duan, wan cheng le yi bu ji da cheng de dai biao zuo.,, ta de fu za he shen sui, chao yue le yi ban yi yi shang de" dong hua pian", di da le di qi yi shu de mou zhong ji zhi zhi jing.,, xia wen ji wei dui ta de xiang jin jie xi.,, zai da yin mu yu gong qi jun de chong feng,,,, 1,, gong qi jun shi yi ge shi jie guan te bie hong da de dao yan. you de dao yan tao lun de shi nan nv wen ti, you de dao yan tao lun de shi she hui wen ti, hai you xie dao yan te bie xi huan tao lun jie ji wen ti, er gong qi jun shi zhong tao lun de dou shi ren lei zhe yi fei chang hong da de wen ti.,, ye zheng yin wei ci, ta de dian ying li mian shi zhong you yi ge yu ren lei shi jie ping xing de, huo zhe xiang dui ying de ling wai yi ge shi jie. zai tian kong zhi cheng li mian, zhe ge shi jie shi yi ge ke ji gao du fa da, zui zhong yi jing mie jue de xuan fu cheng shi la pu da, zhe shi yi ge yi jing si wang de wu tuo bang.,,, la pu da shi yi zuo piao fu zai kong zhong de ju da de ji qi dao, yun cang zhe ju da de cai fu. dian ying tian kong zhi cheng ju zhao,, ta qi shi shi zai jiang, ji shi wo men de ji shu zai fa da zai xian jin, dan mei you dui yu sheng ming de jing wei, mei you dui yu zheng ge shi jie de jing wei, wo men reng ran hui zao yu hui mie.,, wo men jin tian yao jiang de qian yu qian xun, hai you you ling gong zhu, na ling wai yi ge shi jie, jiu shi shen de shi jie. zai gong qi jun de dian ying li mian, shen de shi jie shi ji shang shi da zi ran de yi zhong ren ge hua ti xian, shi yi zhong fan shen lun de lang man xiang xiang.,, cong zhe dian lai shuo, gong qi jun shi yi ge yuan jiao zhi zhu yi de huan bao zhu yi zhe, zai ta de shi jie li mian, ren yi ji ren de yu wang cheng le zhe ge shi jie bei bai huai de zui kui huo shou, er zhe zhong peng bo de bu jia yi zhi de yu wang zui zhong hui shou dao da zi ran de fan pu, huo zhe shuo bao fu.,,, zi ran jie zui shen mi zui qiang da de shen, qi lin shou. dian ying you ling gong zhu ju zhao,, zhe zhong hong da de si bian, shi gong qi jun yi ge zhong yao de ce mian, dan zhe bu shi ta de quan bu. ling wai yi ge yu zhi fen ting kang li de ce mian, jiu shi ta de hai zi qi, zhe zhong hai zi qi lai zi yu ta de xiang xiang li.,, huo zhe shuo, zhe zhong guo sheng de bao peng xiang xiang li ben shen jiu shi hai zi qi di zheng ming, jiu shi le guan de ti xian, jiu shi dui zhe ge shi jie mei you shi qu xi wang de biao xian, jiu shi dui zhe ge gu ding bu yi yi cheng bu bian de xian shi shi jie de fan kang.,, 2,, gong qi jun you duo jin jin le dao di qu miao mo yi ge bu cun zai de shi jie, jiu neng shuo ming ta you duo me wan zheng duo me ke gui di bao liu le na zhong hen rong yi bei shi su shi jie mo diao de tong xin.,, suo yi shuo, ta de dian ying li mian cai chong chi zhe na me duo de mo fa.,, jiu xiang mo nv zhai ji bian li mian na ge qi zhe sao zhou dai zhe ta de xiao hei mao fei xing de xiao mo nv, jiu xiang ha er de yi dong cheng bao li, na ge kan si leng ku shi ze xiang dang bo li xin de xiao xian rou mo fa shi, ye xiang qian yu qian xun li mian nei xie jing ling gu guai de sheng wu huo ren wu, bi ru na ge you zhe liu tiao ge bo de guo lu ye ye, hai you nei xie huo po ling qiao de xiao mei hui men.,,, mo nv qi qi he chong wu hei mao ji ji zai hai bian xiao cheng de xiu xing zhi lv. dian ying mo nv zhai ji bian ju zhao,, ye shi yin wei zhe zhong tong xin, ta de dian ying cai na me re ai qu biao xian fei xing. er qie ta dian ying zhong de fei xing qi dou bu shi na zhong sai bo peng ke shi chong man jin shu wei qu ren xing hua de ji qi, er shi gong ye yu zi ran xiang jie he de qi yi xing tai.,, zhe jiu xiang tian kong zhi cheng li nei xie fei chuan dou you zhe qing ting yi yang de chi bang, hong zhu zhong fei ji quan bu kan qi lai dou san fa zhe ta gang bei fa ming shi de shou gong zhi gan, zai ha er de yi dong cheng bao li mian, na ge cheng bao ye bu shi yi ge ku xuan de ji qi, er shi yi ge ni ren hua lao mai man tun tun de you tui you yan jing you she tou de po jiu de fang zi.,,, ke ai de cheng bao xiang ge zou qi lu lai qi chuan xu xu de lao ye ye. dian ying ha er de yi dong cheng bao ju zhao,, zhe zhong tong xin, hai ti xian zai ta dian ying li mian di zhu ren gong zong shi yi ge ge de meng xiang jia.,, tian kong zhi cheng zhong de xiao nan hai, ta zong shi xiang wang zhe fei xing, dui ji qi chong man le re ai, hong zhu li mian di zhu ren gong hong zhu sui shuo yi jing shi yi ge zhong nian da shu, dan ta nei xin reng ran shi ge xiao hai. ta qing yuan bian cheng yi zhi zhu, ye bu yuan yi jin ru na ge fan ren de e su shi jie, ta yong yuan bu neng fang qi zi you zi zai de fei xing.,, ye shi zhe zhong tong xin, rang ta dian ying li mian zong shi chong man le na zhong hao wu xing se cai yi jian zhong qing de hai tong shi de ai qing, zhe zhong ai qing kan qi lai yu liang xing hao wu guan xi, geng xiang shi yi zhong xiao hai hai hui fa yu de wan ban de guan xi.,, ta dian ying li mian di ren wu dui yu ai qing de zhong zhen ye chao chu wo men de xiang xiang. wu lun shi nan zhu ren gong wei le jiu nv zhu ren gong, hai shi nv zhu ren gong wei le jiu nan zhu ren gong, ta men dou neng hao wu fu dan hao bu you yu di fu chu zi ji de sheng ming, si hu zhe shi tian jing di yi de. zhe dang ran yu gong qi jun pai she de shi dong hua pian you guan xi, dan geng yu ta de na zhong gen shen di gu de shi jie guan you guan xi.,,, qian xun yu bai long yi jian zhong qing, you you sheng si zhi jiao. dian ying qian yu qian xun ju zhao,,, 3,, gong qi jun zhe zhong gu zi li mian di bei guan, yu ta gu zi li mian you wu fa yi zhi de le guan, yi ji ta de gu ban. ta de na zhong bao peng de hai zi qi rong he zai yi qi, xing cheng le yi zhong fei chang qi miao de mao dun gan, ye rang ta de na zhong dan chun bian de geng jia jing ying ti tou, rang ta na zhong hong da de you shi ye bian de geng jia de chun cui er dong ren.,, zai ta suo you de dian ying li mian, hong zhu shi wo zui xi huan de. xiang mo nv zhai ji bian long mao yi ji ha er de yi dong cheng bao, dui wo lai shuo dou guo yu qing ying he guo yu ming mei le, er you ling gong zhu sui ran shi shi gan ji qi hong da, dan shi ye guo yu chen yu, yi zhi yu xian de you xie qi li.,, hong zhu zai wo de yan zhong ji fang mian dou ping heng de fei chang hao, you zhe yi zhong ji shi gu you dan chun, ji wen rou you cang sang de za rou de qi miao gan. dan zai ta suo you dian ying li mian, si xiang xing fang mian, zhe bu qian yu qian xun, hai you you ling gong zhu, shi zui wei chu tiao de.,,, hong zhu shi yi wei mi ren de fei xing yuan. dian ying hong zhu ju zhao,, you ling gong zhu jiang shu le ren yu zi ran zhi jian na zhong wu fa gong cun, que you bu de bu gong cun xia qu de fu za yu mao dun. qian yu qian xun, ze fei chang xi zhi di miao hui chu yi ge xian dai wu zhi she hui de xian zhuang he kun jing.,, geng wei jing miao de shi, ying pian zhong mei yi ge ren wu mei yi ge ju qing dou you ta de yin yu xing.,, qian xun na dui bian cheng zhu de fu mu, fen ming jiu shi xian dai she hui zhong nei xie yi wu fan gu tou shen yu wu yu, zui zhong bei wu yu tun shi de ren,, wu lian nan kan qi lai fei chang dai meng, qi shi shi zhi nei xie wu zhi ji da feng fu, dan que yong yuan zhao bu dao ren he yi gui, zhao bu dao ren he gang wan de nei xie gu du ling hun,, er na ge de bu dao dong xi jiu wei xie yao ku de ju ying, kan qi lai jiu xiang wo men zhe ge shi dai ju ying zheng de yi ge xiang zheng, zhe shi yi ge guo yu ming xian de ming yu le.,,," bu yao chi de tai pang, fou ze hui bei sha diao de!" dian ying qian yu qian xun ju zhao,, ying pian dang zhong, dui ming zi tan tao ye te bie you yi si. qian xun shi qu le zi ji de ming zi, ran hou you zhao hui zi ji ming zi, fen li tao chu mo fa shi jie. ru guo qian xun wang ji le ta ben lai de ming zi, ta jiu hui he ying pian zhong de bai long yi yang, zai ye wu fa zou chu mo fa shi jie.,, zhe shi dui yu xian dai ren de ren sheng yi wei shen chang de yin yu, ming zi jiu dai biao le zhe ge ren de shen fen, ye dai biao le zhe ge ren de guo qu. sang shi le ming zi ye jiu sang shi le shen fen, tong shi ye jiu sang shi le guo qu er sang shi le guo qu, ni ye jiu mei you le wei lai, yin wei wei lai dou shi yi guo qu zuo wei ji dian de, mei you ji dian de ren sheng ye jiu sang shi le xi wang, ni jiu hui bian cheng yi ju xing shi zou rou, bian cheng yi bu ji qi.,,, wu lian ren de jin bi rang qi ta ren chui xian san chi, que wu fa da dong qian xun di xin. dian ying qian yu qian xun ju zhao,, wo men xian dai ren jiu shi zhe yang, fen dou shi wei le huo de zi you, suo yi wo men pin ming di zheng qian, xin gan qing yuan di 996, wo men xin gan qing yuan di xue xi ge zhong ge yang de cheng gong xue.,, dan zai zhe yang de guo cheng dang zhong, wo men zhu jian bei zhe yi tao lian jia de xin ling ji tang gei xi nao, cheng gong ben shen cheng le quan bu, er zai zhe ge guo cheng dang zhong ye jiu wang le suo wei de chu xin shi shen me. dang ni yi dan wang le zhe ge chu xin, ni ye jiu bian cheng le wu zhi di nu li, ye jiu xiang qian xun di fu mu yi yang, bei nei xie wu zhi mei shi wei yang de bu zhi pi juan bu zhi man zu, que bu zhi wo men zao yi sang shi le yuan lai de mu yang.,, 4,, hen you yi si de shi, ying pian fa sheng zai yi ge ri ben fang di chan pao mo po mie zhi hou de you le yuan de fei xu li mian, you le yuan yu fei xu ben shen jiu shi yi ge te bie you yi si de dui bi.,, you le yuan de ben zhi shi yao zao meng, er fei xu que you shi meng xiang de po mie. zhe ge qing kuang hen rong yi rang wo men xiang qi wo men zhong guo, wo men xian zai huo ceng jing de fang di chan re chao, ta rang wo men bu jin yao qu fan gong zi wen, wo men hui bu hui ye xian ru zhe yang yi zhong kuang re, wo men shi bu shi ye zheng zai huo yi jing wang ji le wo men dao di yao gan shen me?,,, fan hua si jin de le yuan shi ji shang yi chu fei xu. dian ying qian yu qian xun ju zhao,, ying pian chu le jiang dao le zheng ge xian dai wu yu dui yu ren xin de sun huai, ta hai fei chang cheng gong di jiang dao le zheng ge she hui wu yu dui yu da zi ran de qiang hai.,, na ge bei wu ren wei shi fu lan shen de he shen, ta man shen de e chou rang man tian shen fo tui bi san she. zai qian xun di bang zhu xia, ta tu chu le suo you de wu gou, zhei xie wu gou jiu shi ge zhong ge yang de gong ye la ji, ge zhong ge yang de xian dai sheng huo de fei qi wu.,, er nan zhu jue bai long, qi shi shi yi tiao he liu, ta wang le zi ji de ming zi, qi shi zhe ye jiu shi ta yi jing gan he huo zhe shen zhi yu xiao shi bu jian de yi zhong xiang zheng, zhe shi bi he shen geng wei bei can de ming yun, zhei xie dou shi zai shuo zai zheng ge xian dai hua de guo cheng zhong, wo men suo fu chu de can tong dai jia.,,, you ling gong zhu ye cheng xian le ren lei fa zhan yu sheng tai ping heng de dui li. dian ying you ling gong zhu ju zhao,, er tang po po he ta de luan sheng jie mei zhi jian de cha bie, ke yi shuo shi gong qi jun dui yu zhe zhong shi dai bing zheng de yi zhong lang man de jie jue fang fa de xiang xiang.,, tang po po luan sheng jie mei de jian piao, yu tang po po de pu zhang xing cheng le xian ming de dui bi, ye xu jie zhi yu wang shi wo men de wei yi chu lu. yu wang bu zhi shi shang hai le wo men zhe yi dai ren, ta dui xia yi dai ren de fu zuo yong geng da, tang po po de na ge ju ying hai zi jiu shi yi ge huo sheng sheng de li zi.,, zhe ge bei guo sheng de wu zhi wei yang zhang da de hai zi, jiu xiang yi duo zai wen shi li mian zhang da, jiao nen que ji xing de hua duo, ta sang shi le xing zou de neng li, sang shi le lao dong de neng li, ye sang shi le jiao liu de neng li. ta wei yi hui de jiu shi suo qu, ta wei yi de wu qi jiu shi ku qi.,, dang ta fei chang li zhi qi zhuang que you jiao di di di shuo chu" ni bu pei wo wan, wo jiu ku yo" de shi hou, shi wo kan dao zheng bu ying pian li zui wei kong bu de chang jing, yin wei ta ru ci zhen shi, si hu jiu zai wei lai de bu yuan chu deng zhe wo men.,,, zui gao tong zhi zhe tang po po wei yi pa de jiu shi ta de ju ying. dian ying qian yu qian xun ju zhao,, zhe bu qian yu qian xun, kan qi lai jiu shi dui yu" xian dai ren zen yang cai neng cong bei wu zhi nu yi de xian zhuang zhong zheng tuo chu lai" de yi zhong tan tao.,, yi bu dong hua pian, neng gou zhe me jing zhi er you xi ni di dui fu za de she hui wen ti jin xing si kao, shi hen nan de de. geng nan de de shi, ta bing mei you yin ci bian de chen men, bing mei you sang shi na zhong huo po de qu wei.,, cong zhe dian lai shuo, gong qi jun te bie xiang si pi er bo ge ke li si tuo fu nuo lan deng hao lai wu dao yan, ta men shi zhong zai da zhong yu zi wo zhi jian, tian zhen yu shen ke zhi jian zou zhe gang si, er qie zui zhong dou xing cun le xia lai, rang wan qian guan zhong dou shou huo le qi guan, hai you gan dong. er zui hou zai zhe qi guan yu gan dong zhi wai, hai you ling wai yi zhong dong xi, zai mo mo di ying xiang zhe da jia, rang da jia qu si suo qu hui wei.,,,, zuo zhe jian jie: nan xing. zi shen mei ti ren, shu ma chan pin fa shao you, chang pao ji tai ji ai hao zhe. ceng ren kan dian ying wu ye chang chuang kan zhu bian.,, zhu: ben wen xi zuo zhe yu" san lian zhong du" gong tong tui chu de yin pin jie mu zhi wen zi ban, ye shi zuo zhe de di yi pian yu yin ying ping.,, ben wen lai zi wei xin gong zhong hao: qiang gao ID: QiangGaooooo, yuan biao ti wu ming mei lian bian cheng zhu de ju ying, bu jiu shi ni ma?, zuo zhe: mei xue feng, feng mian: dong hua dian ying qian yu qian xun

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西太平洋银行:欧元/美元中长期明确走势预测

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FX168财经报社(香港)讯 周一(8月12日)亚市午盘,欧元/美元位于1.1205附近水平徘徊。日内汇价基本维持小幅反弹之势,但整体仍呈现窄幅盘整。

对于欧元/美元接下来的长期走势前景,日内西太平洋(601099)银行(Westpac)分析师最新撰文,作出简要分析和预测看到昆汀的胡歌_热点亚博yabo官方。其观点主要内容如下:

在美国宣布对中国实施新的关税后,欧元/美元反弹至1.12附近,这可能因欧洲投资者在重新评估不断恶化的全球经济环境时,逆转了与持续经常账户盈余相关的资金外流,但我们相信这种资金“返乡”的势头将是短暂的。

随着中美贸易局国家对上市公司的监管_热点亚博yabo官方势的愈发紧绷,这对欧洲开放型经济的影响超过了更为“封闭”的美国,欧洲投资者可能会考虑根据相对增长的基本面,从而再次将资金配置到海外。

即使我们预测美联储12月份可能将联邦基金利率第三次下调至1.375%,美国国债仍将是高收益的避险资产,这将进一步提振美元。

本行的基准预测是:预计到2019年底欧元/美元将跌至1.08,并将维持这一水平至少到2020年年中。

即便在欧元开始复苏之后,由于经济增长趋于趋势水平,通胀远低于目标,且前景风险令欧洲央行(ECB)保持警惕,因此预计欧元也只会缓慢走高。到2020年底,我们预计欧元/美元也仅将回到1.11区域。

北京时间11:35,欧元/美元报1.1206/09。

校对:TIER

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和平精英改了什么不同_热点亚博yabo官方;??

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